Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.211541 2.559515 2.941831 3.392702 3.909558 4.483211 5.167891
2025-02-16 1.652037 2.088936 2.610240 3.276850 4.105396 5.100096 6.383730
2025-02-23 1.248094 1.707206 2.296475 3.105591 4.184904 5.572047 7.486997
2025-03-02 0.953000 1.399939 2.012705 2.909738 4.184420 5.925041 8.475825
2025-03-09 0.790033 1.237700 1.888976 2.898664 4.416541 6.603655 9.982223
2025-03-16 0.645679 1.073919 1.732139 2.808060 4.511373 7.089267 11.267409
2025-03-23 0.584589 1.025990 1.738665 2.959934 4.984270 8.184121 13.594679
2025-03-30 0.523303 0.965975 1.714423 3.054805 5.373581 9.189469 15.899129
2025-04-06 0.457737 0.886649 1.644368 3.059339 5.608091 9.964665 17.911958
2025-04-13 0.379978 0.771669 1.494009 2.899141 5.531627 10.199936 19.024110
2025-04-20 0.348096 0.737709 1.484518 2.991436 5.915551 11.273809 21.727338
2025-04-27 0.328643 0.724829 1.512130 3.155870 6.451233 12.675862 25.179409
2025-05-04 0.297712 0.684783 1.483676 3.212312 6.798022 13.788710 28.263911
2025-05-11 0.267936 0.642259 1.444074 3.240716 7.093359 14.838912 31.356409
2025-05-18 0.232339 0.580556 1.354797 3.151447 7.134070 15.389889 33.518418
2025-05-25 0.197323 0.513826 1.244039 2.998154 7.015693 15.598260 34.992975
2025-06-01 0.178702 0.483371 1.210568 3.013736 7.268968 16.612278 38.285094
2025-06-08 0.156676 0.440394 1.141185 2.935231 7.297886 17.143913 40.586978
2025-06-15 0.151059 0.439195 1.172617 3.103396 7.923189 19.064471 46.200748
2025-06-22 0.142433 0.428366 1.178369 3.208590 8.410477 20.724225 51.398964
2025-06-29 0.130032 0.404788 1.147818 3.216844 8.659928 21.857747 55.489685
2025-07-06 0.111671 0.360586 1.055870 3.050688 8.446659 21.865039 56.884325
2025-07-13 0.105819 0.352665 1.061662 3.148804 8.930991 23.624332 62.761007